· Certificates from Fish King boxes use expected value (1×95% / 2×4.9% / 3×0.1% = 1.051 avg), so one box ≈ 10.51 tier points when opened. Headline totals are averages; the certificates tile also shows the guaranteed floor — every box pays at least 1 cert. Fishing certs still swing with catch luck (roughly ±6 over a full week of casts), so the floor guarantees your boxes, not your rod.
· The ~40 bait/cert rate is an average with no pity — a dry streak of 120 casts without a certificate happens about 5% of the time. Plans are robust to this: instructions say fish until N certs are caught, so a streak costs extra bait (pulled from your held pool, which is the buffer) rather than tier points.
· Baseline 120 bait/day (tasks + max gems) = 600 pts + ~3 fished certs × 10 = exactly T2 (630) — but the certs are RNG, so a bad day can leave you just under.
· Broken lines are bait-neutral: breaking a line sacrifices a cast that catches nothing, so redeems add obtain-points but no net FP or certificates — and failed casts add no fish weight toward the battlepass unlock.
· The redeem shop unlocks by fishing zone (Cabin → Glacier → Coast → Beach), and zones advance with fish weight: broken-line redeems open up 10/20/70/120 and FP-shop bait 20/60/120/200 across the zones, with zone thresholds at roughly 100 / 200 / 300 bait fished (Beach also completes the pass). Only bait you already own counts toward advancing — exchange bait can't bootstrap its own unlock. FP buybacks remain self-funding on points (~393 FP earned per bait vs ≤150 cost).
· The battlepass unlocks by fish weight — roughly the bait you have fished, ≈300 for the full pass (configurable in Rates) — and claiming is all-or-nothing. The planner fishes the unlock weight on the dump day, then claims the whole pass there, shown as gold "Battlepass claim" pills with the bait and boxes it delivers.
· Tier boxes can be opened on any day from when they're earned — their cert points close other days' gaps — and same-day chains work too: a T4 push that lands short of 2,520 on bait alone gets pushed over by opening the boxes crossed en route. · The planner first assigns each day a target tier by marginal value (boxes gained per point spent), treating saved bait, fished certs and box openings as one flexible points budget — so several "big days" can emerge, not just one. Each day then spends the minimum to lock its target (broken lines → saved bait → fishing → opening banked boxes) and never overshoots a threshold on purpose. The final day fishes the pool dry and opens every remaining box, since anything unspent is lost. Total certs and FP don't depend on when you fish or open — only the tier points do.
· Savable resources — broken-line redeems, FP-shop bait, battlepass bait, one-time packs and banked boxes — are spent where the plan needs them: any day can draw on them to lock its target tier, and whatever's left is claimed on the dump day. One-time packs are bought whole on the day whose tier push they fund, and daily pack purchases are scheduled dump day first, then the latest days — buying late keeps the option to skip a pack if box RNG runs hot and you're already over the day's threshold. Daily tasks (40 bait), the day-1 entry bonus (5) and gem-shop bait can't be saved.
· Premium scroll certificates are not counted toward tier points; purchases are scheduled at the 2/day limit, dump day first then the latest days, shown as jade pills on each day.
· When several dump days give the same expected certs, the planner first prefers whichever keeps overshoot off non-final days (final-day waste is the unavoidable flush; mid-week overshoot means the stash hit a day that didn't need it), then the earliest day — a failed big day early in the week can be retried, a failed day 7 can't. You can force any day in Strategy.
· Mid-event rescue (the Help! card) replans only your remaining days. Carried bait and boxes join your first day without re-earning obtain points (those landed on past days — tiers reset daily, so past days can't hurt what's left); your fishing zone sets the shop unlocks, remaining FP-shop bait is priced at the expensive end of the exchange ladder, and anything already claimed or bought is excluded from the totals and jade.